You know, I've had a fair few people who have said that they don't like the name, 'A Punter's Year'. What was wrong with 'The Portfolio Investor'? Well, I must admit, I'm still rather fond of The Portfolio Investor. It has more of a ring to it, don't you think?
So, pack your bags, we're heading home... theportfolioinvestor.blogspot.com
See you there.
Sunday, 11 March 2012
Friday, 9 March 2012
Apologies...
...but service is temporarily on hold.
Only because I'm off out tonight and will be enjoying a couple of scoops.
Look, let's face it, once I get home tonight, I'm likely to find it hard to find my way to my bed, never mind start typing words of gambling wisdom.
So, back Sunday.
PS.Good day for Chasemaster today with a couple of lovely winners (Rumbrey Grey - Leicester - 14/1 and Noble Witness - Leicester - 7/2). Ensures a small profit on the day at the very least with a couple of footie bets to come this evening. Fingers crossed for a good'un.
Only because I'm off out tonight and will be enjoying a couple of scoops.
Look, let's face it, once I get home tonight, I'm likely to find it hard to find my way to my bed, never mind start typing words of gambling wisdom.
So, back Sunday.
PS.Good day for Chasemaster today with a couple of lovely winners (Rumbrey Grey - Leicester - 14/1 and Noble Witness - Leicester - 7/2). Ensures a small profit on the day at the very least with a couple of footie bets to come this evening. Fingers crossed for a good'un.
Thursday, 8 March 2012
Value For Money
Is anybody signed up to the ProGambler website (www.progambler.co.uk)? I am, just to keep my eye in with such things. You know how it is.
ProGambler is a site run by Greg Gordon, probably best known for running the tipping service Scottish Football Bets which I believe is going great guns this season. He was also, for a relatively short period of time, the editor of the Secret Betting Club's monthly review newsletters. I was, in a previous life, a member of Scottish Football Bets and always found Greg to be charming, hugely professional, hard working and obviously very diligent in his work.
Which is why I found the email that hit my inbox today, sent from the ProGambler site, a little surprising. The email provided a link to a review of a horse racing tipping service that ProGambler have been proofing for the past eleven months. The service under scrutiny is The Horse Betting Analyst (www.horsebettinganalyst.com). I have to say, there are a couple of things I take issue with...
Firstly is the length of time of the proofing. The use of "long term" in both the email and in the review to which a link is provided would, to my mind, need the period of proofing to exceed a mere eleven months. Perhaps that's just me.
My second issue is the admission that the service is not the cheapest (£950 for twelve months!), but that many "...would argue that in most walks of life you get what you pay for." I don't know if Greg meant this as a justification for the costly fees or not, but it does read as such, and I would argue that actually in the world of racing tipsters, you can indeed get around the 19% roi achieved by Horse Betting Analyst forking out considerably less for the privilege of subscribing. Just off the top of my head I can think of Northern Monkey (20%+ long term roi at c.£200/year), On The Nose (19% at £200/year), CD Systems Daily Bargain (c.19% at £205/year), The Sportsman Racing (c25%+ roi at £250/year with the sports tips too!), The Market Examiner (c.19% at c.£200/year), and so on. The thing to bear in mind here too, of course, is that these figures have been "proofed" for a lot longer than eleven months and have stood the test of time.
This last point is of particular significance too. Anyone who has previously subscribed to Horse Betting Index and Ultimate Tipster will be aware of what I am referring to.
Look, I have absolutely no reason to even begin to doubt the veracity of the Horse Betting Analyst results, nor their tipping ability (19% roi is rather good), nor their ability to be a tipping service that will stand the test of time. But at £950/year? In this market?
The ProGambler review essentially takes the form of a Question and Answer session with the service owner/administrator. An interview, if you like. There is one question that I would really like to have seen asked...What is the Unique Selling Point of the Horse Betting Analyst service that justifies such a relatively high cost of subscribing?
I would want to see a good answer to this question before parting with my hard earned.
One last point. This may be a personal thing, but I like the fact that I can communicate with my tipsters. I've swopped emails with most of those I follow and I'd like to think I've built up a bit of a relationship with Peter, Dean, Wayne, Scott, Graeme, Matt, et.al. 'The Analyst' wouldn't exactly encourage me to try and do the same here, I don't think, especially as 'The Analyst' was previously 'Mr. T' in former ventures. Perhaps that's my foible - I have a few - but still, give me the personal touch any day.
Today's Betting
What a nightmare for Northern Monkey today! A more heavily staked tip, an early 10/1 secured, backed into 11/2 at the off, everything's looking good. Until the stall gates opened...our beast turned it's nose up at the idea of actually running today and instead stood resolutely in the stalls, purveying it's competitor's disappearing backsides with what looked like complete disdain.
However, a small profit on the day was secured by a return to winning ways for The Sportsman Racing (Old Tricks - Wincanton - 10/11). Chasemaster's one each way selection finished third and returned stakes.
Northern Monkey: Staked 1.5pts, -1.5pts.
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 0.5pts, +0.454pts.
Chasemaster: Staked 0.25pts, N/A.
Month to Date
Racing
Northern Monkey: Staked 4.5pts, -4.05pts, roi -90%
4PA: Staked 2.5pts, -2.5pts, roi -100%
Chasemaster: Staked 1pt, -0.45pts, roi -45%
WRT: Staked 3.1pts, +1.393pts, roi 44.95%
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 2pts, -0.237pts, roi -11.89%
On The Nose:
The Market Examiner: Staked 9.5pts, -0.5pts, roi -5.26%
Sports
TFA 7/22: Staked 7pts, +4.71pts, roi 67.28%
Skeeve: Staked 21pts, -8.48pts, roi -40.38%
Football Elite: Staked 3pts, +1.707pts, roi 56.91%
The Sportsman: Staked 0.15pts, -0.15pts, roi -100%
On The Oche: Staked 1pt, -1pt, roi -100%
Strike Zone (h): Staked 5pts, -2.103pts, -42.06%
ProGambler is a site run by Greg Gordon, probably best known for running the tipping service Scottish Football Bets which I believe is going great guns this season. He was also, for a relatively short period of time, the editor of the Secret Betting Club's monthly review newsletters. I was, in a previous life, a member of Scottish Football Bets and always found Greg to be charming, hugely professional, hard working and obviously very diligent in his work.
Which is why I found the email that hit my inbox today, sent from the ProGambler site, a little surprising. The email provided a link to a review of a horse racing tipping service that ProGambler have been proofing for the past eleven months. The service under scrutiny is The Horse Betting Analyst (www.horsebettinganalyst.com). I have to say, there are a couple of things I take issue with...
Firstly is the length of time of the proofing. The use of "long term" in both the email and in the review to which a link is provided would, to my mind, need the period of proofing to exceed a mere eleven months. Perhaps that's just me.
My second issue is the admission that the service is not the cheapest (£950 for twelve months!), but that many "...would argue that in most walks of life you get what you pay for." I don't know if Greg meant this as a justification for the costly fees or not, but it does read as such, and I would argue that actually in the world of racing tipsters, you can indeed get around the 19% roi achieved by Horse Betting Analyst forking out considerably less for the privilege of subscribing. Just off the top of my head I can think of Northern Monkey (20%+ long term roi at c.£200/year), On The Nose (19% at £200/year), CD Systems Daily Bargain (c.19% at £205/year), The Sportsman Racing (c25%+ roi at £250/year with the sports tips too!), The Market Examiner (c.19% at c.£200/year), and so on. The thing to bear in mind here too, of course, is that these figures have been "proofed" for a lot longer than eleven months and have stood the test of time.
This last point is of particular significance too. Anyone who has previously subscribed to Horse Betting Index and Ultimate Tipster will be aware of what I am referring to.
Look, I have absolutely no reason to even begin to doubt the veracity of the Horse Betting Analyst results, nor their tipping ability (19% roi is rather good), nor their ability to be a tipping service that will stand the test of time. But at £950/year? In this market?
The ProGambler review essentially takes the form of a Question and Answer session with the service owner/administrator. An interview, if you like. There is one question that I would really like to have seen asked...What is the Unique Selling Point of the Horse Betting Analyst service that justifies such a relatively high cost of subscribing?
I would want to see a good answer to this question before parting with my hard earned.
One last point. This may be a personal thing, but I like the fact that I can communicate with my tipsters. I've swopped emails with most of those I follow and I'd like to think I've built up a bit of a relationship with Peter, Dean, Wayne, Scott, Graeme, Matt, et.al. 'The Analyst' wouldn't exactly encourage me to try and do the same here, I don't think, especially as 'The Analyst' was previously 'Mr. T' in former ventures. Perhaps that's my foible - I have a few - but still, give me the personal touch any day.
Today's Betting
What a nightmare for Northern Monkey today! A more heavily staked tip, an early 10/1 secured, backed into 11/2 at the off, everything's looking good. Until the stall gates opened...our beast turned it's nose up at the idea of actually running today and instead stood resolutely in the stalls, purveying it's competitor's disappearing backsides with what looked like complete disdain.
However, a small profit on the day was secured by a return to winning ways for The Sportsman Racing (Old Tricks - Wincanton - 10/11). Chasemaster's one each way selection finished third and returned stakes.
Northern Monkey: Staked 1.5pts, -1.5pts.
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 0.5pts, +0.454pts.
Chasemaster: Staked 0.25pts, N/A.
Month to Date
Racing
Northern Monkey: Staked 4.5pts, -4.05pts, roi -90%
4PA: Staked 2.5pts, -2.5pts, roi -100%
Chasemaster: Staked 1pt, -0.45pts, roi -45%
WRT: Staked 3.1pts, +1.393pts, roi 44.95%
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 2pts, -0.237pts, roi -11.89%
On The Nose:
The Market Examiner: Staked 9.5pts, -0.5pts, roi -5.26%
Sports
TFA 7/22: Staked 7pts, +4.71pts, roi 67.28%
Skeeve: Staked 21pts, -8.48pts, roi -40.38%
Football Elite: Staked 3pts, +1.707pts, roi 56.91%
The Sportsman: Staked 0.15pts, -0.15pts, roi -100%
On The Oche: Staked 1pt, -1pt, roi -100%
Strike Zone (h): Staked 5pts, -2.103pts, -42.06%
Wednesday, 7 March 2012
The last time yours truly picked a winner.
I mentioned last week that Cheltenham antepost selections were coming through thick and fast, and the flow is showing no immediate signs of slowing. On Monday it was Northern Monkey with coverage of some of the handicaps, yesterday 4PA with their advice for the Triumph Hurdle, and today On The Nose waded in with tips in a couple of races. I have got to admit, I'm beginning to get a little twitchy; I daren't add up how much I have staked now over the four days, and let's face it, the racing is rather competitive and there is obvious potential for disaster. Of course there is also the potential for magnificence. No doubt when all the battles have been fought and the dust has settled, returns will lie somewhere on the scale between the two extremes.
Anyway, there's no point in worrying. The money is down. And it is all rather exciting, isn't it?
Cheltenham. I went once, back in 1996. Gold Cup day it was. I remember catching the train from Manchester Piccadilly with my best mate and his Dad (who was essentially funding the two of us, broke students that we were), discussing the form whilst reading the 'Racing Post'. I was absolutely convinced, and had been for some time, that the hot favourite for the big race, One Man, wasn't going to win. My theory was founded in the methods espoused by Nick Mordin in his book, 'Betting For a Living', a book that I spent much time reading and re-reading. In fact, if I'd spent half as much time reading 'Street On Torts' as I did Mordin's tome, I'd have found my end of year law examinations more straightforward than I did!
Mordin's basic theory was that when looking at a horse's form, certain patterns can often be identified which might give the analyst an insight into what sort of run can be expected. Nothing ground-breaking really, although I seem to remember thinking it was at the time. Anyway, looking at One Man's form, it seemed obvious to me that a 3m2f trip on an undulating track would see it beaten. Somehow, during that train journey, I managed to convince my companions of this hypothesis and between us we settled on Imperial Call as the probable winner of the big race.
The rest, as they say, is history. I seem to remember getting 9/2 against Imperial Call. One Man finished a distant six of seven. This quote from the following day's 'Independent':
Gordon Richards, One Man's trainer, was so perplexed that he sent his grey for a dope test. "The thing is that he went out like a light," Richards said. "It wasn't that he had no stamina because he didn't even get three miles today. The horse just hasn't given a true run and I think there must be something to blame."
Gordon. You should have asked me. I knew, you see. I knew.
Today's Betting
A nice profit today, primarily thanks to Football Elite who have had a good midweek; today's bet a winner to add to the one they picked yesterday.
Quiet on the horses. Winning Racing Tips' only selection finished placed (Sutton Storm - Fontwell - 14/1) to provide a small return. No joy for Chasemaster (0/1) or The Market Examiner (0/1).
The Market Examiner: Staked 1pt, -1pt.
Winning Racing Tips: Staked 0.4pts, +0.36pts.
Chasemaster: Staked 0.25pts, -0.25pts.
Football Elite: Staked 1pt, +1.27pts.
Month to Date
Racing
Northern Monkey: Staked 3pts, -2.55pts, roi -85%
4PA: Staked 2.5pts, -2.5pts, roi -100%
Chasemaster: Staked 0.75pts, -0.45pts, roi -60%
WRT: Staked 3.1pts, +1.393pts, roi 44.95%
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 1.5pts, -0.692pts, roi -46.16%
On The Nose:
The Market Examiner: Staked 9.5pts, -0.5pts, roi -5.26%
Sports
TFA 7/22: Staked 7pts, +4.71pts, roi 67.28%
Skeeve: Staked 21pts, -8.48pts, roi -40.38%
Football Elite: Staked 3pts, +1.707pts, roi 56.91%
The Sportsman: Staked 0.15pts, -0.15pts, roi -100%
On The Oche: Staked 1pt, -1pt, roi -100%
Strike Zone (h): Staked 5pts, -2.103pts, -42.06%
Now, I've not mentioned the trading for a little while and there is a simple reason for that. I haven't done any. Not through not wanting to, just that the times of matches hasn't been suitable. From today though, there's a tournament starting which will have matches starting early evening our time, and I want to get involved as much as possible. This may well lead to the posts on the blog amounting to not much more than updates on how the betting is going as I simply won't have the time to stick much else up. Having said that, I'm off work for Cheltenham next week, and it would be rude not to stick some thoughts up on what's going on there. We'll see how it pans out.
Anyway, there's no point in worrying. The money is down. And it is all rather exciting, isn't it?
Cheltenham. I went once, back in 1996. Gold Cup day it was. I remember catching the train from Manchester Piccadilly with my best mate and his Dad (who was essentially funding the two of us, broke students that we were), discussing the form whilst reading the 'Racing Post'. I was absolutely convinced, and had been for some time, that the hot favourite for the big race, One Man, wasn't going to win. My theory was founded in the methods espoused by Nick Mordin in his book, 'Betting For a Living', a book that I spent much time reading and re-reading. In fact, if I'd spent half as much time reading 'Street On Torts' as I did Mordin's tome, I'd have found my end of year law examinations more straightforward than I did!
Mordin's basic theory was that when looking at a horse's form, certain patterns can often be identified which might give the analyst an insight into what sort of run can be expected. Nothing ground-breaking really, although I seem to remember thinking it was at the time. Anyway, looking at One Man's form, it seemed obvious to me that a 3m2f trip on an undulating track would see it beaten. Somehow, during that train journey, I managed to convince my companions of this hypothesis and between us we settled on Imperial Call as the probable winner of the big race.
The rest, as they say, is history. I seem to remember getting 9/2 against Imperial Call. One Man finished a distant six of seven. This quote from the following day's 'Independent':
Gordon Richards, One Man's trainer, was so perplexed that he sent his grey for a dope test. "The thing is that he went out like a light," Richards said. "It wasn't that he had no stamina because he didn't even get three miles today. The horse just hasn't given a true run and I think there must be something to blame."
Gordon. You should have asked me. I knew, you see. I knew.
Today's Betting
A nice profit today, primarily thanks to Football Elite who have had a good midweek; today's bet a winner to add to the one they picked yesterday.
Quiet on the horses. Winning Racing Tips' only selection finished placed (Sutton Storm - Fontwell - 14/1) to provide a small return. No joy for Chasemaster (0/1) or The Market Examiner (0/1).
The Market Examiner: Staked 1pt, -1pt.
Winning Racing Tips: Staked 0.4pts, +0.36pts.
Chasemaster: Staked 0.25pts, -0.25pts.
Football Elite: Staked 1pt, +1.27pts.
Month to Date
Racing
Northern Monkey: Staked 3pts, -2.55pts, roi -85%
4PA: Staked 2.5pts, -2.5pts, roi -100%
Chasemaster: Staked 0.75pts, -0.45pts, roi -60%
WRT: Staked 3.1pts, +1.393pts, roi 44.95%
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 1.5pts, -0.692pts, roi -46.16%
On The Nose:
The Market Examiner: Staked 9.5pts, -0.5pts, roi -5.26%
Sports
TFA 7/22: Staked 7pts, +4.71pts, roi 67.28%
Skeeve: Staked 21pts, -8.48pts, roi -40.38%
Football Elite: Staked 3pts, +1.707pts, roi 56.91%
The Sportsman: Staked 0.15pts, -0.15pts, roi -100%
On The Oche: Staked 1pt, -1pt, roi -100%
Strike Zone (h): Staked 5pts, -2.103pts, -42.06%
Now, I've not mentioned the trading for a little while and there is a simple reason for that. I haven't done any. Not through not wanting to, just that the times of matches hasn't been suitable. From today though, there's a tournament starting which will have matches starting early evening our time, and I want to get involved as much as possible. This may well lead to the posts on the blog amounting to not much more than updates on how the betting is going as I simply won't have the time to stick much else up. Having said that, I'm off work for Cheltenham next week, and it would be rude not to stick some thoughts up on what's going on there. We'll see how it pans out.
Tuesday, 6 March 2012
Strange old day!
Too emotionally knackered to post much tonight! Back to normal service tomorrow.
Today's Betting
Been a strange old day today. A couple of rather good wins and a couple of unexpected losers to wipe out the profits. End up even on the day.
Winning Racing Tips had the good win on the horses (Talking Thomas - Newcastle - 9/2) and came very close to a bumper payout on an each way treble. Talkin Thomas was the first leg, Winstone - Newcastle - 7/2 a successful second leg, but the final horse came a close and battling second. So near yet so far.
The surprising losses both came from The Sportsman Racing...two short priced losers, the second of which was backed into 4/11 favouritism at the off! No luck for Chasemaster whose only selection was never really in it, nor for The Market Examiner.
Quite a bit of footie action tonight, too, and Football Elite had a nice winner to kick things off. The Football Analyst System 7/22 managed one win from two for a small profit, but no joy for Skeeve or The Sportsman.
The Market Examiner: Staked 2.5pts, -2.5pts.
Chasemaster: Staked 0.25pts, -0.25pts.
Winning Racing Tips: Staked 0.9pts, +2.118pts.
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 1pt, -1pt.
The Football Analyst 7/22: Staked 3pts, +0.46pts.
Football Elite: Staked 1pt, +1.437pts.
Skeeve: Staked 4pts, -4pts.
The Sportsman: Staked 0.15pts, -0.15pts.
Month to Date
Racing
Northern Monkey: Staked 3pts, -2.55pts, roi -85%
4PA: Staked 2.5pts, -2.5pts, roi -100%
Chasemaster: Staked 0.5pts, -0.2pts, roi -40%
WRT: Staked 2.7pts, +1.033pts, roi 38.27%
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 1.5pts, -0.692pts, roi -46.16%
On The Nose:
The Market Examiner: Staked 8.5pts, +0.5pts, roi 5.88%
Sports
TFA 7/22: Staked 7pts, +4.71pts, roi 67.28%
Skeeve: Staked 21pts, -8.48pts, roi -40.38%
Football Elite: Staked 2pts, +0.437pts, roi 21.87%
The Sportsman: Staked 0.15pts, -0.15pts, roi -100%
On The Oche: Staked 1pt, -1pt, roi -100%
Strike Zone (h): Staked 5pts, -2.103pts, -42.06%
I need a drink...
Today's Betting
Been a strange old day today. A couple of rather good wins and a couple of unexpected losers to wipe out the profits. End up even on the day.
Winning Racing Tips had the good win on the horses (Talking Thomas - Newcastle - 9/2) and came very close to a bumper payout on an each way treble. Talkin Thomas was the first leg, Winstone - Newcastle - 7/2 a successful second leg, but the final horse came a close and battling second. So near yet so far.
The surprising losses both came from The Sportsman Racing...two short priced losers, the second of which was backed into 4/11 favouritism at the off! No luck for Chasemaster whose only selection was never really in it, nor for The Market Examiner.
Quite a bit of footie action tonight, too, and Football Elite had a nice winner to kick things off. The Football Analyst System 7/22 managed one win from two for a small profit, but no joy for Skeeve or The Sportsman.
The Market Examiner: Staked 2.5pts, -2.5pts.
Chasemaster: Staked 0.25pts, -0.25pts.
Winning Racing Tips: Staked 0.9pts, +2.118pts.
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 1pt, -1pt.
The Football Analyst 7/22: Staked 3pts, +0.46pts.
Football Elite: Staked 1pt, +1.437pts.
Skeeve: Staked 4pts, -4pts.
The Sportsman: Staked 0.15pts, -0.15pts.
Month to Date
Racing
Northern Monkey: Staked 3pts, -2.55pts, roi -85%
4PA: Staked 2.5pts, -2.5pts, roi -100%
Chasemaster: Staked 0.5pts, -0.2pts, roi -40%
WRT: Staked 2.7pts, +1.033pts, roi 38.27%
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 1.5pts, -0.692pts, roi -46.16%
On The Nose:
The Market Examiner: Staked 8.5pts, +0.5pts, roi 5.88%
Sports
TFA 7/22: Staked 7pts, +4.71pts, roi 67.28%
Skeeve: Staked 21pts, -8.48pts, roi -40.38%
Football Elite: Staked 2pts, +0.437pts, roi 21.87%
The Sportsman: Staked 0.15pts, -0.15pts, roi -100%
On The Oche: Staked 1pt, -1pt, roi -100%
Strike Zone (h): Staked 5pts, -2.103pts, -42.06%
I need a drink...
Monday, 5 March 2012
Not a lot to report.
It's all a bit quiet just at the moment. Not much betting action and not a lot going on elsewhere to provide much material for the sort of witty and insightful commentary you're used to on this blog. *cough*
Today's Action
Only The Market Examiner with anything to follow today, and how unfortunate they were for their first selection to beaten by a mere short head. The second selection drifted wildly and ran as you would expect in such circumstances. Can't win 'em all.
Yesterday was similarly quiet. The Market Examiner dropped a point and of the three Strike Zone bets, only the one was a winner. That one of the losers was Spurs took the edge off losing the money a touch, I must admit (no offence Spurs fans).
Month to Date
Racing
Northern Monkey: Staked 3pts, -2.55pts, roi -85%
4PA: Staked 2.5pts, -2.5pts, roi -100%
Chasemaster: Staked 0.25pts, +0.05pts, roi 20%
WRT: Staked 1.8pts, -1.08pts, roi -60.25%
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 0.5pts, +0.307pts, roi 61.52%
On The Nose:
The Market Examiner: Staked 6pts, +3pts, roi 50%
Sports
TFA 7/22: Staked 4pts, +4.25pts, roi 106.25%
Skeeve: Staked 17pts, -4.48pts, roi -26.35%
Football Elite: Staked 1pt, -1pt, roi -100%
The Sportsman:
On The Oche: Staked 1pts, -1pts, roi -100%
Strike Zone (h): Staked 5pts, -2.103pts, -42.06%
Today's Action
Only The Market Examiner with anything to follow today, and how unfortunate they were for their first selection to beaten by a mere short head. The second selection drifted wildly and ran as you would expect in such circumstances. Can't win 'em all.
Yesterday was similarly quiet. The Market Examiner dropped a point and of the three Strike Zone bets, only the one was a winner. That one of the losers was Spurs took the edge off losing the money a touch, I must admit (no offence Spurs fans).
Month to Date
Racing
Northern Monkey: Staked 3pts, -2.55pts, roi -85%
4PA: Staked 2.5pts, -2.5pts, roi -100%
Chasemaster: Staked 0.25pts, +0.05pts, roi 20%
WRT: Staked 1.8pts, -1.08pts, roi -60.25%
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 0.5pts, +0.307pts, roi 61.52%
On The Nose:
The Market Examiner: Staked 6pts, +3pts, roi 50%
Sports
TFA 7/22: Staked 4pts, +4.25pts, roi 106.25%
Skeeve: Staked 17pts, -4.48pts, roi -26.35%
Football Elite: Staked 1pt, -1pt, roi -100%
The Sportsman:
On The Oche: Staked 1pts, -1pts, roi -100%
Strike Zone (h): Staked 5pts, -2.103pts, -42.06%
Sunday, 4 March 2012
How to make money betting on football.
I must admit I had a wee chuckle when I read on a forum recently, a post bemoaning an inability to make any profits with football betting. The post was followed by another, claiming that it is horses where the money is to be made...after all, double priced winners on football just don't happen. The conclusion was that the bookies have the footie markets sewn up.
I then read a post on another forum, written not long after the final whistle had been sounded on this Saturday afternoon's fixtures...
"7-22: normally no more than 5 minutes a week to place bets, check results and count winnings"
The 7/22 referred to is System 7/22 of The Football Analyst's portfolio, the system followed in fact, by my good self (although this wasn't my comment made on the forum). There had been two selections this week (Colchester and Aldershot) and two winners.
My figures following System 7/22 this season now read:
Points Staked: 68
Profit: +29.6
ROI: 43.5%
(*Please note I stake two points on the home selections, one on away)
Now I understand that it might be a bit much to ask for such a rarified level of ROI to be maintained ad infinitum, but looking at the system's overall performance figures for last season too (Bets: 131, Profit +32.6pts, ROI 24.9% - to level stakes), we can see that we now have a season and two thirds of proofed excellence.
Throw in Skeeve's consistency in attaining a 14% roi over goodness knows how long (six seasons, actually), and The Sportsman's 15% roi just from his football bets since August 2009, I think you can safely say that we don't need winners at 10/1+ to make decent money from the beautiful game (and after watching Robin Van Persie on Saturday, it really is beautiful, isn't it?). Sure, Football Investor and Football Elite have had a tricky time of it this season but have a long term track record of success, and there are others out there making the football betting game pay.
Saturday's Betting
As far as the 'orses were concerned yesterday, a nice winner for The Market Examiner (Handy Andy - Newbury - 8/1, SP 6/1) was the only success. No joy for 4PA or Northern Monkey, the only other two services in action.
I've already mentioned The Football Analyst's returns for the weekend. Skeeve dropped a few points on what was a frustrating day for the non-league whizz, and Football Elite's sole bet of the weekend lost too. Strike Zone (homes) found one from two but at the odds made a small loss on the day. Heh! - perhaps betting on footie is a mug's game after all!
4PA: Staked 2.5pts, -2.5pts.
Northern Monkey: Staked 1pt, -1pt.
The Football Analyst System 7/22: Staked 4pts, +4.25pts.
Strike Zone (homes): Staked 2pts, -0.636pts.
Skeeve: Staked 17pts, -4.48pts.
Football Elite: Staked 1pt, -1pt.
Month to Date
Racing
Northern Monkey: Staked 3pts, -2.55pts, roi -85%
4PA: Staked 2.5pts, -2.5pts, roi -100%
Chasemaster: Staked 0.25pts, +0.05pts, roi 20%
WRT: Staked 1.8pts, -1.08pts, roi -60.25%
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 0.5pts, +0.307pts, roi 61.52%
On The Nose:
The Market Examiner: Staked 3.5pts, +5.5pts, roi 157.14%
Sports
TFA 7/22: Staked 4pts, +4.25pts, roi 106.25%
Skeeve: Staked 17pts, -4.48pts, roi -26.35%
Football Elite: Staked 1pt, -1pt, roi -100%
The Sportsman:
On The Oche: Staked 1pts, -1pts, roi -100%
Strike Zone (h): Staked 2pts, -0.636pts, -31.8%
I'm going to leave today's results to tomorrow's post, simply because I have a footie bet running this evening and I'll have likely gone to bed before it finishes. Need to be bright eyed and bushy tailed for work in the morning, eh?
I then read a post on another forum, written not long after the final whistle had been sounded on this Saturday afternoon's fixtures...
"7-22: normally no more than 5 minutes a week to place bets, check results and count winnings"
The 7/22 referred to is System 7/22 of The Football Analyst's portfolio, the system followed in fact, by my good self (although this wasn't my comment made on the forum). There had been two selections this week (Colchester and Aldershot) and two winners.
My figures following System 7/22 this season now read:
Points Staked: 68
Profit: +29.6
ROI: 43.5%
(*Please note I stake two points on the home selections, one on away)
Now I understand that it might be a bit much to ask for such a rarified level of ROI to be maintained ad infinitum, but looking at the system's overall performance figures for last season too (Bets: 131, Profit +32.6pts, ROI 24.9% - to level stakes), we can see that we now have a season and two thirds of proofed excellence.
Throw in Skeeve's consistency in attaining a 14% roi over goodness knows how long (six seasons, actually), and The Sportsman's 15% roi just from his football bets since August 2009, I think you can safely say that we don't need winners at 10/1+ to make decent money from the beautiful game (and after watching Robin Van Persie on Saturday, it really is beautiful, isn't it?). Sure, Football Investor and Football Elite have had a tricky time of it this season but have a long term track record of success, and there are others out there making the football betting game pay.
Saturday's Betting
As far as the 'orses were concerned yesterday, a nice winner for The Market Examiner (Handy Andy - Newbury - 8/1, SP 6/1) was the only success. No joy for 4PA or Northern Monkey, the only other two services in action.
I've already mentioned The Football Analyst's returns for the weekend. Skeeve dropped a few points on what was a frustrating day for the non-league whizz, and Football Elite's sole bet of the weekend lost too. Strike Zone (homes) found one from two but at the odds made a small loss on the day. Heh! - perhaps betting on footie is a mug's game after all!
4PA: Staked 2.5pts, -2.5pts.
Northern Monkey: Staked 1pt, -1pt.
The Football Analyst System 7/22: Staked 4pts, +4.25pts.
Strike Zone (homes): Staked 2pts, -0.636pts.
Skeeve: Staked 17pts, -4.48pts.
Football Elite: Staked 1pt, -1pt.
Month to Date
Racing
Northern Monkey: Staked 3pts, -2.55pts, roi -85%
4PA: Staked 2.5pts, -2.5pts, roi -100%
Chasemaster: Staked 0.25pts, +0.05pts, roi 20%
WRT: Staked 1.8pts, -1.08pts, roi -60.25%
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 0.5pts, +0.307pts, roi 61.52%
On The Nose:
The Market Examiner: Staked 3.5pts, +5.5pts, roi 157.14%
Sports
TFA 7/22: Staked 4pts, +4.25pts, roi 106.25%
Skeeve: Staked 17pts, -4.48pts, roi -26.35%
Football Elite: Staked 1pt, -1pt, roi -100%
The Sportsman:
On The Oche: Staked 1pts, -1pts, roi -100%
Strike Zone (h): Staked 2pts, -0.636pts, -31.8%
I'm going to leave today's results to tomorrow's post, simply because I have a footie bet running this evening and I'll have likely gone to bed before it finishes. Need to be bright eyed and bushy tailed for work in the morning, eh?
Friday, 2 March 2012
Weekend. Nice One.
Won't keep you too long tonight. It's Friday, and the priority is takeaway food, a couple of beers, and a good film.
So, without further ado...
Today's Betting
A mediocre day today. Winning Racing Tips had a bit of a disaster in the opener at Newbury, picking two each way against the hot favourite. The hot favourite didn't get up to win, but unfortunately neither of our two got up to place! Northern Monkey had three today, one of which found the frame but a loss of just over a point in all. The Market Examiner had just the one, half point bet which lost.
One winner was found though, courtesy of The Sportsman Racing (Za'Lan - Lingfield - 8/13) who won rather cheekily, I thought.
Northern Monkey: Staked 1.5pts, -1.05pts.
Winning Racing Tips: Staked 1pt, -1pt.
The Market Examiner: Staked 0.5pts, -0.5pts.
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 0.5pts, +0.307pts.
Month to Date
Northern Monkey: Staked 2pts, -1.55pts, roi -77.5%
4PA:
Chasemaster: Staked 0.25pts, +0.05pts, roi 20%
WRT: Staked 1.8pts, -1.08pts, roi -60.25%
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 0.5pts, +0.307pts, roi 61.52%
On The Nose:
The Market Examiner: Staked 2.5pts, -2.5pts, roi -100%
TFA 7/22:
Skeeve:
Football Elite:
The Sportsman:
On The Oche: Staked 1pt, -1pt, roi -100%
Strike Zone (h):
Have a great weekend, all. Back Sunday with a weekend round-up.
So, without further ado...
Today's Betting
A mediocre day today. Winning Racing Tips had a bit of a disaster in the opener at Newbury, picking two each way against the hot favourite. The hot favourite didn't get up to win, but unfortunately neither of our two got up to place! Northern Monkey had three today, one of which found the frame but a loss of just over a point in all. The Market Examiner had just the one, half point bet which lost.
One winner was found though, courtesy of The Sportsman Racing (Za'Lan - Lingfield - 8/13) who won rather cheekily, I thought.
Northern Monkey: Staked 1.5pts, -1.05pts.
Winning Racing Tips: Staked 1pt, -1pt.
The Market Examiner: Staked 0.5pts, -0.5pts.
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 0.5pts, +0.307pts.
Month to Date
Northern Monkey: Staked 2pts, -1.55pts, roi -77.5%
4PA:
Chasemaster: Staked 0.25pts, +0.05pts, roi 20%
WRT: Staked 1.8pts, -1.08pts, roi -60.25%
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 0.5pts, +0.307pts, roi 61.52%
On The Nose:
The Market Examiner: Staked 2.5pts, -2.5pts, roi -100%
TFA 7/22:
Skeeve:
Football Elite:
The Sportsman:
On The Oche: Staked 1pt, -1pt, roi -100%
Strike Zone (h):
Have a great weekend, all. Back Sunday with a weekend round-up.
Thursday, 1 March 2012
Spring has sprung.
Spring is very definitely in the air. The sun has been out today, the birds were joyous in their enthusiasm for the dawn chorus this morning (bastards woke me up!), and there are snowdrops and crocuses (croci ?) bravely contributing a splash of colour to the garden. You know what all this means don't you, my horse racing chums? Yes, it means that Cheltenham is just around the corner. That's what it means.
Mind you, for anyone operating a portfolio of tipping services that includes at least a couple of racing specialists, it would be only too obvious that the Festival is not so far away. My inbox has been inundated with antepost tips. 4PA, Northern Monkey, On The Nose, and The Sportsman have all been busy analysing the big races and drawing their conclusions. God knows how much money I have tied up in 'Pending' bets. I would think it enough to finance a revolution.
Anyway, talking of Cheltenham tips, I have a plug to make. I've mentioned the chap before, but if you're not reading The Value Bettor blog, you really should be. The guy knows his onions, of that there is no doubt...and he is doing a Cheltenham Special. At just a tenner for the four days (which my calculator tells me is only £2.50/day) you will receive one heck of a good insight into each of the races. Will I be following? Unfortunately not. I already have about four selections in each race and my capacity for Festival betting is full. But don't allow that to put you off. Take a nosey over there (link is to the right). You know it makes sense!
Today's Betting
Close to being a nice start to the month for Winning Racing Tips. The first leg of an each way double came in the winner, the second leg came in second. Shame.
Chasemaster's one tip today managed to cling on to third place by the width of a gnat's eyelash, so a very small return there (Theatre Diva - Ludlow - 7/1).
Northern Monkey's one selection wasn't quite quick enough to place. The Market Examiner's two selections were similarly unsuccessful today.
From Sam's note today, it seems as if he is getting used to the little foibles of Bet Butler, but he seems well in control and is ensuring he is getting the best prices available at the time of placing the bets. Obviously this is a work in progress, but reading Sam's observations, progress is obviously being made and I'm confident that before too long, the whole system will be running as smoothly as a hand made Swiss clock. And believe me my friends, that is smooth.
On The Oche also played tonight, but unfortunately their one selection was a losing one.
Northern Monkey: Staked 0.5pts, -0.5pts.
Chasemaster: Staked 0.25pts, +0.05pts.
On The Oche: Staked 1pt, -1pt.
Month to date
Racing
Northern Monkey: Staked 0.5pts, -0.5pts, roi -100%
4PA:
Chasemaster: Staked 0.25pts, +0.05pts, roi 20%
WRT: Staked 0.8pts, -0.08pts, roi -10%
The Sportsman Racing:
On The Nose:
The Market Examiner: Staked 2pts, -2pts, roi -100%
Sports
TFA 7/22:
Skeeve:
Football Elite:
The Sportsman:
On The Oche: Staked 1pt, -1pt, roi -100%
Strike Zone (h):
Thought some might like to see the month to date figures for each service. Provide some context. I'll try to keep it updated each day.
Mind you, for anyone operating a portfolio of tipping services that includes at least a couple of racing specialists, it would be only too obvious that the Festival is not so far away. My inbox has been inundated with antepost tips. 4PA, Northern Monkey, On The Nose, and The Sportsman have all been busy analysing the big races and drawing their conclusions. God knows how much money I have tied up in 'Pending' bets. I would think it enough to finance a revolution.
Anyway, talking of Cheltenham tips, I have a plug to make. I've mentioned the chap before, but if you're not reading The Value Bettor blog, you really should be. The guy knows his onions, of that there is no doubt...and he is doing a Cheltenham Special. At just a tenner for the four days (which my calculator tells me is only £2.50/day) you will receive one heck of a good insight into each of the races. Will I be following? Unfortunately not. I already have about four selections in each race and my capacity for Festival betting is full. But don't allow that to put you off. Take a nosey over there (link is to the right). You know it makes sense!
Today's Betting
Close to being a nice start to the month for Winning Racing Tips. The first leg of an each way double came in the winner, the second leg came in second. Shame.
Chasemaster's one tip today managed to cling on to third place by the width of a gnat's eyelash, so a very small return there (Theatre Diva - Ludlow - 7/1).
Northern Monkey's one selection wasn't quite quick enough to place. The Market Examiner's two selections were similarly unsuccessful today.
From Sam's note today, it seems as if he is getting used to the little foibles of Bet Butler, but he seems well in control and is ensuring he is getting the best prices available at the time of placing the bets. Obviously this is a work in progress, but reading Sam's observations, progress is obviously being made and I'm confident that before too long, the whole system will be running as smoothly as a hand made Swiss clock. And believe me my friends, that is smooth.
On The Oche also played tonight, but unfortunately their one selection was a losing one.
Northern Monkey: Staked 0.5pts, -0.5pts.
Chasemaster: Staked 0.25pts, +0.05pts.
On The Oche: Staked 1pt, -1pt.
Month to date
Racing
Northern Monkey: Staked 0.5pts, -0.5pts, roi -100%
4PA:
Chasemaster: Staked 0.25pts, +0.05pts, roi 20%
WRT: Staked 0.8pts, -0.08pts, roi -10%
The Sportsman Racing:
On The Nose:
The Market Examiner: Staked 2pts, -2pts, roi -100%
Sports
TFA 7/22:
Skeeve:
Football Elite:
The Sportsman:
On The Oche: Staked 1pt, -1pt, roi -100%
Strike Zone (h):
Thought some might like to see the month to date figures for each service. Provide some context. I'll try to keep it updated each day.
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